sábado, 19 de marzo de 2011

LIBYA AND THE MIDDLE EAST

Well they acted late, but did it. this intervention in lybia posses several problems for the west in the politics of the area. to begin with, you need to know if the west wants to place democracy in all those countries, which i guess is a no. because each country has the type of government it wants, the problem with democracy in the world is that if the country has a small middle class and most are poor and lack education, you are going to end up with a populist governmet, and some examples already exists.

so the west should refrain from impossing democracy. for example, lets try saudi arabia, if they get turmoil and unrest, will the usa back up the king? if the king uses his airplanes and tanks, will the west back him up? or will back up the people that want a democracy? these is a very difficult situation for the west, and this is why i say the west should let any country have the government it wants. so far the shiites are wining, iran is all over the place, they are mayority people in saudi arabia and bahrain. and they are disturbing these goverments on purpose, they have everything to win, and the west everything to loose, or they will have a double talk to save the situation.

to me the main focus is iran, they should try to get iran under control, either by internal forces or buy external forces, because they are causing problems in iraq, saudi arabia, bahrain, yemen, etc. fortunately what happended in egypt and sudan is for democracy, without being impossed.

you have to realize that the sons and families of royal people and the rich in this countries get their education en london, oxford, mit, harvard, yale, etc, in the west, and this is changing their minds all the time, it is a cultural change going on there. so i would no be surprised if some of the royal families backs the poor people in these countries one of these days to become democratic countries.

so the focus needs to be placed on iran, effective and efficient actions to block them and get their oposition leader to take over the country, which would be the best and cheapest way to get the job done. otherwise is going to be expensive, unless the west gets paid later with iranian oil. but the oil never pays for lost lives....

which is normally what happens. a good example is the dessert storm war to save kuwait from sadam hussein. they paid for it.

so democracy should not be impossed to any country. what we need is to make sure that no head of state kills their own people like gadafi was doing, but they have a need to get to action sooner, they are too slow, it takes too long for a desicion to be made. i know it is difficult with russia, china, brasil, etc. but they should come up with sort of emergency committee to hande these problems.
nestor g ramirez

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